pool play v1 · TPFR aggregate pitching · ace penalty · 10,000 sims
Who's Who 2026
11U Baseball — Pool Play Simulator
TPFR
Team pitcher force ranking
15%/30%
Ace BF penalty
±6%
Max streak effect
Ties
Count as ½ win
Pool Play
Saturday matchups
Gambrills and Bagel Bombers are heavy favorites in their games. The most competitive matchup is Delmarva vs BCC — essentially a coin flip at 42/52%. Ties are tracked explicitly and count as ½ win per rules.
Bagel Bombers vs Kent Island projects 17.6 avg runs — Kent Island's pool-play ERA_eff of 15.97 is nearly double the field. Mercy rule limits actual blowout magnitude in real games.
Projected Seeding
Seed distributions
Gambrills and Bagel Bombers are locked in a #1/#2 battle — each has roughly equal odds at the top seed. Graysox projects solidly 3rd. Kent Island locks #7 in 81% of sims.
Average seed
Average seeds: Gambrills 2.3, Bagel Bombers 2.3, Graysox 3.0, BCC 4.0, Delmarva 4.8, Prospects 4.9, Kent Island 6.7
Seed probability heatmap
Team Pitcher Force Ranking
Pool-play pitching strength
TPFR is a BF-weighted composite — ERA, K%, and BB% combined — with aces penalized to 15% and #2 arms to 30% of their actual workload. Reflects who a team will realistically throw on Saturday. Kent Island's ERA_eff of 15.97 is nearly double the next-worst team.
TPFR — higher = stronger pool-play pitching
TPFR: Gambrills 1.398, Bagel Bombers 1.305, Graysox 1.167, Prospects 1.101, BCC 0.987, Delmarva 0.896, Kent Island 0.542
Effective ERA (pool-play weighted)
ERA_eff: Gambrills 6.32, Bagel Bombers 6.59, Graysox 6.88, Prospects 7.21, BCC 7.84, Delmarva 8.76, Kent Island 15.97
Who's Who 2026 · 11U · pool play v1 · TPFR · 10,000 sims